It is now a virtual certainty. Barack Obama is a one-term President. This opinion is not based on the comments, or rants, of any of his opponents.
There is an idea which, once it enters the conversation, is damning to any president. It starts with one phrasing from his supporters. They start to believe that the Presidency is a bigger job than anyone can handle. The job is too big for their man.
The President’s opponents and those in the middle usually come to a contrary conclusion. It is not that the job is too big. The problem is that the man in the office is too small. America will not retain in the Presidency a man they see as too small for the job.
Richard Cohen, in a Washington Post article, has announced that the job is too big.
Obama presiding over the unpresidable (sic), the president overseeing the incomprehensible, the full panoply of meaningless power — Air Force One, Marine One, the limo, the motorcade, the briefcase with the nuclear launch codes — all amounting in this case to man railing against the sea, a somber lesson for us all. The spill goes on. The war goes on. The debt grows — and so, for too many of us, does denial.
Cohen has been a strong supporter of Obama. When a President’s supporter starts talking like this, what is a neutral voter to think? The last time we were discussing the overwhelming nature of the job was during the Presidency of Jimmy Carter. He lost 44 states when he ran for reelection.
Carter started his presidency as the answer to what was wrong with America. He was the solution to Watergate era corruption. Obama was going to change many things wrong with America. In both cases, it is fair to say the expectations were too high.
The thing to watch is when, and whether, people start to laugh at Obama. With Carter, there was a picture and story of a rabbit attacking his boat. When the President starts losing respect, his reelection chances disappear.